Prediction of Oleg Kolninov vs Karim Mabrouk at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 12-02-25

• In recent performance, Karim Mabrouk shows a clear advantage over Oleg Kolninov in second serve points, winning 39.30% compared to Kolninov's 0%.
• Return game analysis reveals Karim Mabrouk as more adept, securing 42.86% of their opponent's second serve points, while Oleg Kolninov struggles with 0%.
• Both players have challenges against first serves, but Mabrouk still edges out Kolninov with a 27.27% win rate against his opponent’s first serves.
• Under pressure, Mabrouk again shows superior composure, saving 55.84% of breakpoints recently, whereas Kolninov saved none.
• Over the past year, both players exhibit similar win/loss ratios; Kolninov at 46.67% and Mabrouk at 41.18%, making overall performance nearly even.
• Interestingly, both players perform best on Hard surfaces, with Kolninov and Mabrouk both winning about 33% of their matches.
• The players have faced opponents of significantly different quality, with Mabrouk encountering higher-ranked individuals on average.
• In deciding sets, Kolninov maintains a flawless record, winning 100%, while Mabrouk's success rate stands at 50%.

Editorial Prediction (December 1, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent form and statistical performance, Karim Mabrouk emerges as a stronger contender due to his consistent ability to win more points on both second serves and returns. Mabrouk has also demonstrated better performance under pressure, saving more breakpoints than his opponent.

While both players have recorded similar win ratios over the last year on their preferred surfaces, Mabrouk's encounters with higher-ranked players suggest a higher competitive level which may further support his readiness for upcoming matches.

The significant advantage in crucial service game statistics indicates a likely edge for Mabrouk, despite Kolninov's perfect record in deciding sets over the last 12 months.

Given these factors, Karim Mabrouk is predicted to be the favorite to win this upcoming tennis match.